USA · USL League One · 6/13/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
10.5%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40