GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Portimonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vizela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vizela hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Segunda Liga, while Vizela holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vizela

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

16.2%

Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PortimonenseWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VizelaWLWDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PortimonenseVizela
37.3Attack49.0
47.1Defence70.6
33.3Form60.8
41.1Power61.6
0.66xG1.51
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