GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portadown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portadown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dungannon Swifts are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portadown hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Premiership, while Portadown holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portadown

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

12.6%

Portadown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PortadownLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Dungannon SwiftsLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PortadownDungannon Swifts
42.1Attack56.1
60.5Defence39.5
49.1Form41.2
52.3Power46.3
1.67xG1.20
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