GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Port Vale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Port Vale are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Murcia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Port Vale hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Port Vale holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Port Vale

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Port Vale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Port ValeWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real MurciaWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Port ValeReal Murcia
33.3Attack33.3
57.1Defence28.6
42.9Form19.0
46.1Power30.4
1.80xG0.97
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