Port Melbournevs
Northcote City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northcote City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Port Melbourne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Northcote City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Northcote City
Probability
78.1%
Model confidence
78.1%
Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80