GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Port Melbourne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Northcote City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

78.1%

Model confidence

78.1%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Port MelbourneWLDLD

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Northcote CityDLLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Port MelbourneNorthcote City
19.4Attack59.4
27.8Defence65.2
23.6Form66.7
26.8Power64.9
0.60xG2.70
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