GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Port Melbourne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

79.5%

Model confidence

79.5%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Port MelbourneLLWDW

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Melbourne Victory IIWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Port MelbourneMelbourne Victory II
19.4Attack75.4
27.8Defence49.3
23.6Form58.0
26.8Power61.0
0.89xG3.37
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