Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PoPo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
PoPo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 6.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PK-37 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PoPo hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Suomen Cup, while PoPo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PoPo
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
PoPo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 33 · GA 5 · avg 6.60/1.00
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40