Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Popayan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tigres FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigres FC hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80