Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Popayan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Quindio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80