GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pontypridd Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Pontypridd Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pontardawe Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontypridd Town hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the FAW Championship, while Pontypridd Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pontypridd Town

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Pontypridd Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pontypridd TownWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pontardawe TownWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Pontypridd TownPontardawe Town
100.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power59.3
2.27xG1.71
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