Ponte PretavsNautico Recife

Ponte Preta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nautico Recife are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Recife hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Serie B, while Nautico Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.