GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ponte Preta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guarany de Bagé are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ponte PretaWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guarany de BagéWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte PretaGuarany de Bagé
16.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.04xG0.89
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