Ponte PretavsAmerica Mineiro

Ponte Preta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and America Mineiro hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.