Pontardawe Townvs
Newport City
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pontardawe Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pontardawe Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Newport City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.3 against 59.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the FAW Championship, while Pontardawe Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pontardawe Town
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
9.0%
Pontardawe Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80