Pontardawe Townvs
Caerphilly Athletic
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pontardawe Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pontardawe Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Caerphilly Athletic have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontardawe Town hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the FAW Championship, while Pontardawe Town holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pontardawe Town
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Pontardawe Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00