PonferradinavsReal Avilés

Ponferradina are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Avilés are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ponferradina hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ponferradina holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.