GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/28/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Warszawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aarhus Fremad are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Warszawa hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polonia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Warszawa

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Polonia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia WarszawaLWDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Aarhus FremadDDDDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia WarszawaAarhus Fremad
69.4Attack41.7
58.3Defence66.7
55.6Form33.3
59.9Power45.9
2.17xG1.09
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