GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Środa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Polonia Środa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Victoria Września are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Środa hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Polonia Środa holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Środa

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

11.1%

Polonia Środa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia ŚrodaLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Victoria WrześniaWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Polonia ŚrodaVictoria Września
65.7Attack40.2
43.1Defence54.9
50.0Form41.2
53.1Power47.4
1.96xG1.24
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