GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wisła Płock II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Wisła Płock II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wisła Płock II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wisła Płock II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wisła Płock II

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

10.8%

Wisła Płock II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.LWWLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wisła Płock IIWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Wisła Płock II
45.1Attack52.9
41.2Defence43.1
40.2Form42.2
44.2Power47.6
1.66xG1.74
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