GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zimbru · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Politehnica UTM are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zimbru are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Super Liga, while Zimbru holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zimbru

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Politehnica UTMWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZimbruDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Politehnica UTMZimbru
42.9Attack61.9
47.6Defence66.7
38.1Form52.4
43.5Power59.0
1.13xG1.81
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