GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 7/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Politehnica UTM are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 77.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Super Liga, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Politehnica UTMLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sheriff TiraspolWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Politehnica UTMSheriff Tiraspol
42.9Attack76.2
47.6Defence76.2
38.1Form81.0
43.5Power77.7
0.98xG2.25
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