GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Politehnica UTM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Politehnica UTM are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CSF Bălți are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Politehnica UTM hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Super Liga, while Politehnica UTM holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Politehnica UTM

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

10.2%

Politehnica UTM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Politehnica UTMDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CSF BălțiDLLLD

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Politehnica UTMCSF Bălți
42.9Attack38.1
47.6Defence23.8
38.1Form23.8
43.5Power30.5
2.16xG1.20
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