GGOALVIO

Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Azam · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Polisi Tanzania are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Azam are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Polisi Tanzania hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (79.7 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while Azam holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Azam

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

14.0%

Azam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polisi TanzaniaLWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.75/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
AzamWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Polisi TanzaniaAzam
91.7Attack70.0
83.3Defence76.7
75.0Form76.7
79.7Power73.6
0.85xG1.35
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