Polessyavs
Zorya Luhansk
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Premier League · 8/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Polessya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zorya Luhansk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Polessya hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.5% in the Premier League, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
19.5%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20