Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Polessya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sabah FA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Polessya hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20