Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Polessya are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Europa are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Polessya hold a 39.7-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00