Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pohronie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pohronie are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while MFK Bytča are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pohronie hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 8.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the 2. liga, while Pohronie holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pohronie
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
10.0%
Pohronie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60