GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogon Szczecin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pogon Szczecin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Motor Lublin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogon Szczecin hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Ekstraklasa, while Pogon Szczecin holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogon Szczecin

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogon SzczecinWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Motor LublinLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
55.6Attack44.4
77.8Defence22.2
66.7Form11.1
67.2Power29.5
2.06xG0.95
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