Pogon Szczecinvs
Motor Lublin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogon Szczecin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pogon Szczecin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Motor Lublin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogon Szczecin hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Ekstraklasa, while Pogon Szczecin holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pogon Szczecin
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20