Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczówvs
Moravia Morawica
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moravia Morawica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moravia Morawica are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Moravia Morawica hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Moravia Morawica holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moravia Morawica
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
13.3%
Moravia Morawica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40