GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moravia Morawica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moravia Morawica are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Moravia Morawica hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Moravia Morawica holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moravia Morawica

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

13.3%

Moravia Morawica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówLDLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Moravia MorawicaLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówMoravia Morawica
0.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power51.0
1.29xG1.46
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