GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chełmianka Chełm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chełmianka Chełm are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chełmianka Chełm hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Chełmianka Chełm holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chełmianka Chełm

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Chełmianka Chełm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówDLDWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Chełmianka ChełmWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówChełmianka Chełm
0.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power86.5
1.19xG1.65
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