Pogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Warszawa

Pogoń Siedlce are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Polonia Warszawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Warszawa hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the I Liga, while Polonia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.