Pogoń SiedlcevsNieciecza

Pogoń Siedlce are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nieciecza are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nieciecza hold a 46.3-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the I Liga, while Nieciecza holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.