Pogoń Siedlcevs
Jastrzębie
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Siedlce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pogoń Siedlce are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jastrzębie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Siedlce hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Cup, while Pogoń Siedlce holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Siedlce
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Pogoń Siedlce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 0 · GA 15 · avg 0.00/3.00