GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Stal Rzeszów are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 70.8-point power-rating edge (87.0 v 16.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the I Liga, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

11.9%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Stal RzeszówDLLDD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Rzeszów
55.6Attack22.2
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form11.1
87.0Power16.2
2.23xG0.83
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