Pogoń Grod. Mazowieckivs
Stal Rzeszów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Stal Rzeszów are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 70.8-point power-rating edge (87.0 v 16.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the I Liga, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
11.9%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40