GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Puszcza Niepołomice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 41.5-point power-rating edge (87.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the I Liga, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Puszcza NiepołomiceLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPuszcza Niepołomice
55.6Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
87.0Power45.5
1.63xG0.90
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