Pocheonvs
Yangpyeong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pocheon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Yangpyeong are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yangpyeong hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00