GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/28/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Pocheon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dangjin Citizen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

11.6%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PocheonWDLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dangjin CitizenLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PocheonDangjin Citizen
37.8Attack61.4
45.6Defence52.6
28.9Form49.1
39.8Power54.6
1.10xG1.91
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