Pobedavs
Sevastopol
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pobeda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sevastopol are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and sevastopol hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 1, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20