Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pobeda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rostov II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rostov II hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Second League - Group 1, while Rostov II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rostov II
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Rostov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80