Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pobeda are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Kyzyltash are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.8 against 55.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Second League - Group 1, while Pobeda holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67