GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 3/28/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pobeda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Angust Nazran are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Second League - Group 1, while Pobeda holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PobedaLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Angust NazranLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PobedaAngust Nazran
64.7Attack16.7
56.9Defence64.8
52.9Form29.6
56.8Power39.5
1.54xG0.57
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