GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 84.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Khimik DzerzhinskWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodKhimik Dzerzhinsk
78.3Attack91.7
53.3Defence76.7
70.0Form88.3
66.1Power84.4
1.25xG2.12
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