GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Dinamo Barnaul are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.4% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

85.4%

Model confidence

85.4%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo BarnaulDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodDinamo Barnaul
78.3Attack41.7
53.3Defence21.7
70.0Form33.3
66.1Power35.1
4.32xG0.97
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