Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turnov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pěnčín are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Turnov are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turnov hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Cup, while Turnov holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turnov
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Turnov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60