Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Plzen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Zlin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Czech Liga, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
10.5%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80