PlymouthvsExeter City

Plymouth are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Exeter City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Exeter City hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the League Cup, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.