GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Bristol City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 81.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlymouthWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bristol CityWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PlymouthBristol City
73.3Attack60.0
66.7Defence93.3
66.7Form86.7
68.2Power81.0
1.65xG1.43
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