GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Miramar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MiramarLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Plaza ColoniaMiramar
43.9Attack31.6
75.4Defence57.9
56.1Form33.3
59.4Power43.2
1.25xG0.40
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