Plaza Coloniavs
La Luz
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 7/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Plaza Colonia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while La Luz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40