GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 6/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atenas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

17.6%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaWDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AtenasWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaAtenas
43.9Attack49.1
75.4Defence57.9
56.1Form50.9
59.4Power53.6
1.21xG0.65
View match centre →